Real estate collapse creates Dubai havoc
Liz Alderman
Dubai, United Arab Emirates— The New York Times News Service
Published Thursday, Oct. 07, 2010 10:51AM EDT
Last updated Thursday, Oct. 07, 2010 2:19PM EDT
Investors in Dubai are learning painfully just how the legal system works in the middle eats or should I say, doesn't work. Although Dubai wants to be first world and can build like anywhere else, without the legal framework to protect investors, it could take generations for people to forget and invest again in that country. Could this happen in Panama? It certainly could and in fact has in a number of instances where developers and or promotors have dissapeared with the down payments and the buyer has no legal avenue to pursue. But it certainly will not be on a scale with Dubai, and Panama's service economy is more in demand by multinational companies that do more than just handle money. I believe Panama will absorb the overbuilding in time, but many will lose in their rush to buy without considering what they could do should things go bad. Sounds a lot like the U.S. housing market doesn't it?
From The Globe and Mail. Hat tip to Tomas for this story.
Real estate collapse creates Dubai havoc
Liz Alderman
Dubai, United Arab Emirates— The New York Times News Service
Published Thursday, Oct. 07, 2010 10:51AM EDT
Last updated Thursday, Oct. 07, 2010 2:19PM EDT
On a sultry June evening in 2007, more than 100 people camped out at the offices of Emaar, a prestigious Dubai property developer, to ensure that they would land a coveted spot in a gleaming new skyscraper scheduled to open this year near the Burj Khalifa, the world’s tallest building.
Today, the property, designed by the New York architect Frank Williams (who died in February), is like a number of others around Dubai - little more than a foundation. Its value has plunged by more than 40 per cent since 2008, after the collapse of Dubai’s real estate boom.
“It’s really a disaster, the situation in Dubai,” said Silvia Turrin, a real estate agent who bought into the property, 29 Boulevard, and has been unable to get her money out. “It’s not like in Western countries. It’s very difficult to exit here if there’s a problem. And we’ll never get our money back, but now we’re stuck dealing with this hole.”
Dubai lured people to a gold rush in properties at the height of its real estate boom - including business and political leaders from Afghanistan who invested the deposits from Kabul Bank, one of the country’s largest. The near-collapse of the bank in September was largely a result.
At the time, few asked if there was a legal framework for resolving potential disputes. Now, with the glitter gone, interviews with investors, legal specialists and real estate analysts here show that many who bought in are finding it hard to get out.
Despite the construction delay, Emaar is still holding the down payments of as much as 80 per cent that were required to secure an apartment, Ms. Turrin and other property holders said. And Dubai’s opaque property laws have made it virtually impossible for those who bought in to walk away, even as interest accumulates on their construction loans.
In a statement, Emaar acknowledged that 29 Boulevard was still “under construction” but said that it upheld transparency standards and had “taken several proactive measures to address the concerns of investors on developments that are in the pipeline.”
It said those measures included the option of buying other completed properties. Investors, however, say the properties being offered are in some cases smaller, less attractive and more expensive than those they had agreed to buy.
Emaar is not the only developer with such problems. Scores of other buildings around Dubai are well past their delivery dates or have yet to be started.
Apartment buyers who made down payments for property construction cannot find what is happening with their money, these people said. Bank loans held on undelivered property often cannot be forfeited, and borrowers have had to pay higher interest rates even as banks have not let them walk away from the mortgages.
“The rules of the game are definitely opaque here,” said an investor who has bought several properties in Dubai and who insisted on anonymity because of delicate talks with developers and regulators. “In the United States, I would know my legal position much more clearly and could take actions if necessary.”
Most developers have also thwarted the formation of owners’ associations that could take control of building finances and ensure the transparent management of condo fees, which many owners say developers use to take in more money.
Dubai has compressed decades’ worth of real estate development into the past 15 years. But the legal framework for resolving property disputes, and the nature of the contracts themselves, are still as incomplete as many of the buildings, analysts said.
“Dubai has evolved rapidly in just a short time,” said Graham Coutts, who is in charge of Middle East management services at Jones Lang LaSalle, a global real estate services firm. “The legal system is evolving with it.”
Still, concerns about resolving disputes here are mounting, even as developers struggle to find foreign and domestic investors for what has become one of the largest property surpluses in the world.
Commercial real estate vacancies in particular are still rising.
Although about 70 per cent of empty lots from three years ago have been filled, real estate construction since then has far exceeded the purchases, more than doubling the amount of vacant space available, said Timothy Trask, the director of corporate ratings at Standard & Poor’s in Dubai.
Dubai is not the first place where soaring ambitions outpaced reality. Shanghai, Singapore and Hong Kong all were overbuilt in relatively short times. But these cities were able to trim their real estate surpluses by greatly reducing construction until demand picked up.
Building is continuing in Dubai, however, even though potential corporate tenants are showing little interest in developments like the Dubai Silicon Oasis or the Jumeirah Lake Towers, a complex of more than 85 buildings that looks like a Las Vegas version of Lower Manhattan planted on the fringes of the desert. Jones Lang LaSalle recently proposed that some buildings should simply be sealed for the next five years, until buyers return.
Even if investors eventually respond to slumping prices, they would still have to be wary of contracts and vigilant about how legal disputes in Dubai are resolved, said Ludmila Yamalova, a managing partner at the law firm HPL Plewka & Coll, who handles lawsuits for individual and commercial property investors.
She recently sued Damac Properties, one of Dubai’s biggest builders, on behalf of a German investor who claimed that from 2006 on, he invested nearly $10-million (U.S.) in five properties that were not delivered on time. The investor, Lothar Hardt, also contends that the developer mismanaged escrow accounts related to the properties and that he lost money by signing contracts with retailers who planned to set up shop in the buildings.
Ms. Yamalova is now trying to bring suit in a court run by the Dubai International Financial Center, a government body set up to attract investors, which operates largely on British-based law and is independent of the opaque Dubai court system, where cases are conducted in Arabic and plaintiffs must go through local Emirati representatives.
Dubai’s real estate regulators have issued a flurry of rules since 2008 to clarify the situation in Dubai and to comfort potential investors. But new rules sometimes contradict others issued just months earlier, often in ways that leave developers with the advantage and property buyers in a legal limbo, making many wary of ever investing in Dubai again, Ms. Yamalova said.
Mr. Coutts, the Jones Lang LaSalle executive, said that because Dubai had grown so fast, the government was learning on the job. In more mature markets, “you had 200 years to develop a legal framework,” he said. “It’s now becoming clearer what kind of a legal framework is needed to regulate development here.”
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